Patience, Grasshopper ๐Ÿฆ—

Patience, Grasshopper ๐Ÿฆ—
July 30, 2026 at 9:02 AM EDT
๐Ÿ”„ Buy and Hedge
RSI Washed Out, Industrials Cratering, and Energy Alone Holds the Line โ€” Rotate Selectively, Hedge Religiously
Day 5 at a selectively constructive posture

Justification

The market is handing you a genuine dislocation today โ€” not a crash, but a stress-tested setup where selective buyers can find value if they keep protection in place. The RSI (a momentum gauge) at 30.74 is near oversold territory, while the 10-year Treasury yield has climbed 12 basis points over the last 10 sessions, squeezing the case for expensive multiples. The trailing P/E sits at the 85.8th percentile of its own 20-year history โ€” historically rich even as the market pulls back. Energy is the one sector with positive momentum today; pair any new exposure there with protective puts on QQQ, which remain affordable with VIX (a volatility gauge) at 19.11.

Since the Last Issue

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